A Warm (And Dry) Start To May, Will It Last Into The Weekend?

All week I have been watching a nearly stationary cold front sitting over the midwest bringing on and off rain to the region. This system has also brought over a foot of snow to some parts of Wisconsin and Minnesota!

Regional Sat-Rad FRONTS

But thanks to a strong area of high pressure sitting over most of the East coast, any advancing rain has been unable to make it much further East than the Illinois/Indiana border. Even by Saturday, the high will still be in control and helping to keep an area of low pressure away from West Central Ohio.

Futurecast

An area of low pressure will develop over the midwest into the weekend and become cut off from the main flow (you might have heard me say this once or twice over the course of the week) We can see the cut off low REALLY well in the forecasted 500 millibar chart by this Saturday sitting to the Southwest of Ohio.

500 mb

In and around the low is where the best chance for rain will be through early next week as it slowly drifts towards the East. By Monday we can see that the low has moved very little, but is sitting to the South of the Buckeye state….

500 MB Monday

Where you find the low pressure system is where you’ll get your best chance for rain. Here is a look at the forecasted rainfall totals over the upcoming weekend. With NO accumulating rain expected in Ohio through Monday.

QPF Sat - Mon

Recent data like this have led me to continue to drop the rain chance through the weekend. It’s looking pretty good! Hopefully we can continue to dry out a bit from a very rainy April!

-Kyle

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2 thoughts on “A Warm (And Dry) Start To May, Will It Last Into The Weekend?

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