A New Year Brings A New Chance For Snow!

What a cool down we have felt here in West Central Ohio over the past couple of days! I didn’t even have to wear a jacket on Saturday, now it’s back to Winter for us, and while we likely won’t see much accumulating snow for the remainder of 2013, the beginning of 2014 could be a different story.

Light snow is possible tonight into Tuesday, but it looks like anything (if any at all) accumulates, it will be less than 1/2″ of snow. The first chance for snow into 2014 will arrive shortly AFTER midnight tomorrow into Wednesday morning, just in time for the new year. Areas North of Route 30 will likely pick up some light snow, with heavier amounts out of our viewing area, closer to the Michigan Ohio border.

Models Point toward accumulating snow generally North of Route 30

Models point toward accumulating snow generally North of Route 30 around the time the ball drops!

8 hours later, by daybreak Wednesday morning, light snow is still possible.

Wed 8 AM

Most ALL forecast models keep the higher snowfall amounts focused along the OH/MI border. While we could certainly see an inch or two here in Lima Tuesday night, the heaviest amounts look as if they will stay mainly North of West Central Ohio.

Predicted snow totals from our first round of snow that will move through shortly after the beginning of 2014

Predicted snow totals from our first round of snow that will move through shortly after the beginning of 2014

So far I have taken us through Wednesday evening, it’s after this when I think we’ll have our best chance for a more widespread snow! By late Wednesday evening an area of low pressure will begin to develop and move in out of the West. This low will be pulling on some Arctic air out of the North along with trying to grab some Southern moisture out of the Gulf of Mexico. THE BIG QUESTION, is how much moisture will this low be able to get ahold of…..Here is a look at the placement of the low late Wednesday evening, the low in Southern Illinois will be trying to steal some energy from the low moving out of the Gulf of Mexico. If it can tap into this moisture we could be looking at several inches of snow by the end of the day Thursday.

Can this low moving through the Great Lakes tap into deeper moisture out of the South? That is still to be seen....

Can this low moving through the Great Lakes Wednesday night and Thursday tap into deeper moisture out of the South? That is still to be seen….

Forecast models are NOT in a lot of agreement on how these to systems will interact. We will very likely see snow Wednesday night into Thursday, but how much? It’s still too early for me to confidently say. Forecast models are VERY divided on this one still, so please, don’t buy into what others are saying as far as snowfall amounts are concerned! It’s nothing but hype. Just know that the potential for several inches of snow IS a possibility and by this time tomorrow, I’ll very likely have a much better picture as far as what potential snowfall totals could be for Wednesday night and Thursday. Please stay tuned! I’ll be sure to keep you updated.

-Kyle

 

 

 

 

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