We have been storm free so far today, but as we head into Wednesday morning showers and thunderstorms will likely move into West Central Ohio. Here is a look at the regional radar around 5:15 PM. Notice the purple box, that’s where a new Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been issued. It’s in the area I have circled in red where showers and thunderstorms are expected to develop this evening.
CAPE values in this region are approaching 3000 j/kg which is getting pretty high, so I would expect pretty rapid development over this region in the next 2 to 3 hours.
Notice the blue on the map, that’s CIN (Convective Inhibition) It’s basically a cap in the atmosphere that greatly limits a whole lot of upward motion that produces storms. As long as there is a cap, storms won’t develop here in West Central Ohio this evening.
It won’t be until after midnight tonight that we’ll probably start to see some of these storms developing over Iowa and Illinois begin to move into NW Ohio. Here is a look at Futurecast by about 11 PM this evening.
And then at about 3 AM Wednesday morning. These storms will be moving southeast along the warm front.
Another shot around 5 AM Wednesday morning.
It’s important to note that I expect these storms to be at their strongest as they venture through Illinois and Northern Indiana. By the time they get here they should be losing some steam. Even then, isolated damaging winds are still possible here in NW Ohio from midnight until about 9 AM Wednesday morning. It’s also VERY important to note that as these storms develop off to our West over the course of the evening I’ll be able to get a MUCH better gauge on how and when they will ultimately impact West Central Ohio!
By tomorrow afternoon the front that’s currently over Southern Wisconsin and Iowa will be over West Central Ohio. We will likely see redevelopment of storms along this front along and SOUTH of Route 30.
There is some question to how strong these storms could possibly be here in West Central Ohio during the afternoon hours Wednesday simply because the atmosphere may not be able to recover from any storms we see tonight. Regardless, the Storm Prediction Center does have most of West Central Ohio under a “Slight Risk” tomorrow for severe weather. However, with that said, I do think the worst of the weather tomorrow will stay into Central and Southern Ohio.
I’ll keep you updated through the evening, and be sure to catch all the latest tonight at 10 and 11 on Your News Now! Don’t forget! You can also download our brand new Weather App to track potential storms!