Temperatures on Monday will likely near the 90 degree mark here in West Central Ohio, and this heat is going to come with some VERY muggy conditions outside! Dew point temperatures to begin the new week will likely exceed the 70 degree mark into the afternoon hours on Monday.
And when you couple readings like that with temperatures near 90 degrees, you’ve got a very soupy air mass in place with heat index values likely reaching at or above 95 degrees across much of the Buckeye State.
With that kind of heat and humidity in place, pop up showers and thunderstorms could develop into the evening hours here in West Central Ohio, but it’s honestly not something I’m very concerned about during the day. Our Futurecast model shows that potential here by about 6 or 7 Monday evening.
A MUCH more organized squall line of strong to severe thunderstorms is expected to develop late evening tomorrow across parts of Iowa and Illinois and move East. It’s for this reason that NW Ohio is right on the edge of a “Slight Risk” area for severe thunderstorms on Monday.
But the timing for this anticipated line of showers and thunderstorms will NOT be favorable for severe weather here in West Central Ohio. You can see here, the latest short-term models don’t even have the line of thunderstorms into Indiana until well after midnight.
By the time the line reaches the Ohio/Indiana border it will be in a MUCH weakened state.
As of now it’s pretty clear the timing on this system is off with this system for any severe weather here. It’s something I’ll definitely be paying attention too on Monday, but for now I’m not too concerned. I’ll keep you updated, stay cool Monday!