West Central Ohio Weekend Snow Chance

The past couple of days you might have heard me talk about the potential for accumulating snow over the weekend, I wanted to give a quick update now that some of the latest data has come in.

We’ll have two chances for accumulating snow this upcoming weekend, the first chance Saturday night and the second, Sunday night. Of the two, it looks as if the better shot at accumulating snow will be on Sunday night. Here is a look at some of the graphics.

First off, almost all of the forecast models have now backed off on the idea that we could see an inch or two of snow Saturday night into Sunday morning. A cold front will be moving in out of the west, and out ahead of it, light snow will develop and spread through the great lakes.

Future Sat Night

As this area of light snow moves in through Sunday morning, it looks as if the potential for accumulating snow will be focused more north of West Central Ohio. As I mentioned earlier, most of the forecast models agree. Here is a look at a few of them showing snowfall through Sunday morning.

Here is the RPM

RPM Future Snow

The EURO

EURO Future Snow

And the GFS

GFS Future Snow

It looks like a dusting to MAYBE a half inch of snow for most Saturday night into Sunday morning.

So now onto Sunday night…..

As of now, most of the day Sunday looks snow free with the exception of a few light flurries. But by Sunday night the aforementioned cold front will move into Western Ohio and begin to pull up some more moisture out of the south.

Future Wide

This will bring a better chance at snow to the region simply because the front will have more moisture to work with Sunday night. Here is a closer look at where models project that snow to be around midnight Sunday.

Depending on how fast this front moves through will determine how much, if any snow we get. If the front stays on its current pace it looks as if we could easily get an inch, maybe 2 inches into Monday morning. If the front slows down, we could possibly see an inch more, and if it speeds up we could maybe just see a dusting. It’s all about timing! For now, here is a look at the chance parts of West Central Ohio could see an inch or snow or more from Sunday evening through Monday afternoon. Notice the better chances are generally south and east of Lima.

Sunday Night Snowfall

The bottom line is that I believe the better chance to see an inch or so of accumulating snow will be on Sunday night, NOT Saturday night. We’ll be sure to keep you updated through the weekend! And REMEMBER, you can track snow on our weather app 🙂

APP PIC

 

 

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Weather Buzz Words To Avoid! My Personal Reason For A No Hype Approach To The Weather

Ask anyone who knows me well, I have been crazy about the weather since a very young age. However what many of you might not know is how my love of weather was eventually cultivated. Simply put, from about three or four years old through most of my elementary school years (maybe even middle school) I was scared to death of thunderstorms and tornadoes. It wasn’t just your typical scared, like I’m just going to worry for a few minutes scared, it was absolutely frozen in fear all day long scared if I knew thunderstorms or severe weather were possible. This fear isn’t something I like to freely admit, but it plays a huge role in how I look to communicate weather now as an adult.

It was that fear of bad weather that led me to read anything and everything I could get my hands on about the weather when I was a kid; it was an obsession.  Learning about the weather led me to more thoroughly understand it, and because of that education and understanding my fears faded away!

When I sound the alarm, I want people to listen. In my eight years in the business one of my core beliefs is that if I go around yelling “the sky is falling” people will eventually trust me and my forecasts. Unfortunately this takes time, and more and more in this industry people want things now, we want clicks now and we want things shared, you guessed it, right now! It’s simple to see in the media, the more doom and gloom included in weather forecasts, the quicker one can build an audience. I wholeheartedly reject this idea. Why you may ask? Because I simply put myself in my shoes, when I was a kid. How would 10-year-old Kyle react to all this hype talk that can so easily be seen and shared on the internet? Trust me, I assure that it would have made me lose my mind! In a way, I’m glad I grew up during a time without the internet, I would have driven myself nuts with all the over hyped talk that’s out there in the weather world today.

So basically, it’s personal to me. If I have to talk about severe weather or that big snow storm headed our way, I’m always going to try to do it in a calm manner. In the back of my head I’m always talking to 10-year-old Kyle, and I don’t want to give him any more anxiety over the weather than he already has.

So with that being said, you may have heard of some “extreme cold” weather headed our way next week. Forecast models point towards temperatures about 10 to 20 degrees below normal by Wednesday of next week. Sure, it’s going to be cold for this time of the year, but it’s November, and this time of year temperatures typically get cold! Just for kicks, here is a list of terms you may hear over the next week (if you already haven’t) that may indicate to you that things may be getting hyped up.

Kyle Buzz Words

Even though I’m a little embarrassed to admit how scared I was when I was a kid, I felt it necessary to share this story with you, especially headed into the winter months. The weather will be what it will be, and you can be sure that I’ll be working my best to give you a straight forward forecast.

-Kyle

 

 

Get Ready, The Worst Buzz Term In Weather Is Headed Our Way!

Maybe you have heard by now, meteorologists around the country are throwing around the news that the ominous Polar Vortex could be headed our way once again! And this time, it’s coming in NOVEMBER?

Viewer Photo 2

Before I go on, let me refresh your memory on what exactly the Polar Vortex is. The Polar Vortex is a persistent cyclonic circulation, usually in the high latitudes that takes place in the upper levels of the troposphere, or near the jet stream. Basically, VERY high up in the sky. The Polar Vortex is nothing new, it is always there and usually intensifies in the wintertime.

When you hear meteorologists refer to the Polar Vortex, know that this is nothing new. What they are referring to is a PIECE of the broad circulation that breaks off and can meander its way as far south as the United States. For us, this typically means well below average temperatures.

So back to my original picture…..

Viewer Photo 2

What will we ever do when (and if) a piece of this Polar Vortex makes it this far south next week?

Temperatures will probably only top out in the 30’s! Oh no! It’s the middle of November in OHIO, it couldn’t actually be in the 30’s could it?

The short answer to the above question is YES! And, this also brings to light my biggest beef with the blatant overuse of this lame weather buzz word. Since the massive overuse of this term began last winter, people have come to associate it with extreme cold! Don’t get me wrong, last winter was extremely cold, but it won’t be extremely cold next week! Sure, it will be about 10 to 20 degrees below average for this time of year, but that’s what I call a cold spell! We won’t see anything NEAR our 10 to 15 below zero temperatures that the last “Polar Vortex” brought us. So you see, no two Polar Vortexes are created equal. One could bring highs well below zero and the next could bring highs in the mid 30’s. To me, that’s confusing!

I could go on and on about why I hate the term “Polar Vortex” but I just wanted to let you know what it actually is and NOT to be scared of it. It’s just a stretch of cold November weather, and that’s that. Don’t expect to hear me using this term on air anytime soon 🙂

-Kyle