We’re now in our 15th day here in Lima where temperatures have been unable to reach the freezing mark (32 degrees). And it looks as if it’s going to get worse before it gets better here in West Central Ohio with sub-zero temperatures expected the next couple of nights.
Overnight lows both tonight and Friday night will very likely fall below zero as a cold area of high pressure settles in. This high will keep our weather calm here in the region, but it will also allow for night-time clearing, especially on Friday night that will let temperatures fall in the -4° to -8° below zero range early Saturday morning.
We’ll begin a slow warm up into Saturday and Sunday, but as we have seen in the past, with warming temperatures comes an increased chance for snow! A warm front will lift out of the south on Sunday bringing a very good chance for snow to end our weekend. Overall, forecast models have been pretty consistent over the last couple of days depicting this scenario, that’s why I’m comfortable talking about accumulation numbers over 3 days before the storm.
Both the GFS and the European forecast models show snow moving in on Sunday. The timing between them is slightly different, but both show the potential for around 3 to 5 inches by early Sunday morning here in West Central Ohio. Again, it’s important to note that forecasts are always a FLUID situation and can change as new data becomes available! This is simply meant to inform and give a heads up, by no means is this my FINAL forecast for Sunday. With that said here is the European model showing snow moving into West Central Ohio by about 7 or 8 AM Sunday morning.
And the European by midnight Sunday night
This model shows about a 12 to 16 hour period on Sunday with the potential for on and off light to moderate snow.
The GFS is similar, it just pushes in the snow a bit later in the day on Sunday. The GFS shows the snow moving in by about 1 PM on Sunday
And the snow moving out close to daybreak Monday morning.
Taking a look at NOAA’s percentages on Sunday for 2 OR MORE inches of snow, we can see that the chance for most of West Central Ohio is above 80 percent.
Again, by no means is this a final forecast! You can count on me to keep you updated over the next couple of days as this potential snow approaches. And again, you can keep up on the latest with our weather app!